Low Pressure Develops Over Bay of Bengal, Depression on May 24.

A low-pressure area has emerged over the Southwest Bay of Bengal (BoB), marking the onset of the first pre-monsoon system of this season. Influenced by cyclonic circulation in the region, this low-pressure area is expected to move northeast, becoming more organized and intensifying into a depression over the next 36-48 hours.

Typically, pre-monsoon systems in May originate over the South Andaman Sea and Southeast BoB, making the current position of this system quite unusual for this time of year. However, the environmental conditions are conducive to the intensification of low-pressure areas. It is likely to develop into a depression or deep depression by May 24th over the central BoB. The seasonal and climatological factors suggest further intensification, with the potential to become a cyclone around May 25th.

While it is too early to determine the impact on the Indian region, the current assessment suggests no adverse effects on the Odisha coastline. However, the coastline of Gangetic West Bengal and the Sundarbans area, being close to the Bangladesh border, might require more precise forecasts in the next 24 hours. Given the unpredictable nature of storms in terms of their timelines and tracks, it is prudent to stay prepared for any eventuality and be ready to act at short notice.